Kustosija vs Novigrad: result 0-1 and analysis
First NLRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 23, 2017 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Igralište NK Kustošija, Zagreb
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What was the result of Kustosija vs Novigrad?
Novigrad won 0-1 on September 23, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Kustosija have 0 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Novigrad have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2017 | Dugopolje(away) | 0-2 | First NL |
| Sep 9, 2017 | Sibenik(home) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Sep 4, 2017 | Dinamo Zagreb II(away) | 1-2 | First NL |
| Aug 30, 2017 | Sesvete(home) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Aug 26, 2017 | NK Varazdin(away) | 1-1 | First NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2017 | HNK Hajduk Split II(home) | 0-3 | First NL |
| Sep 9, 2017 | Solin(away) | 1-1 | First NL |
| Sep 3, 2017 | HNK Gorica(home) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Aug 30, 2017 | Lucko(away) | 2-0 | First NL |
| Aug 26, 2017 | Hrvatski Dragovoljac(home) | 1-0 | First NL |
How many goals should we expect?
Kustosija score 0.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 6; Novigrad score 0.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kustosija | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0 | 2/6 | 1/6 |
| Novigrad | 0.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kustosija | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy