Hrvace vs Kustosija: prediction and stats
First NLRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Hrvace
The Footlab AI model makes Kustosija the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Hrvace. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kustosija wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hrvace vs Kustosija?
Kustosija starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,718 vs 1,583).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hrvace vs Kustosija
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hrvace
4-3-3- 29I. Ikić
- 10J. Vrcić
- 9B. Jemo
- 8V. Medic
- 11E. Vehabović
- 18A. Pokrajcic
- 5J. Mijić
- 4F. Milovic
- 27K. Bungić
- 17L. Basic
- 12Tomislav Adolf Tomić
Kustosija
4-3-3- 2H. Soudani
- 11Jan Doležal
- 9M. Gashi
- 88N. Sunjic
- 13M. Vuckovic
- 17M. Zalazar
- 55I. Graf
- 25S. Sopić
- 5Tin Kulenović
- 3F. Markanovic
- 1L. Prslja
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 07:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hrvace have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Kustosija have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vukovar(away) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Orijent 1919(home) | 3-0 | First NL |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo(away) | 2-1 | First NL |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dubrava Zagreb(home) | 0-0 | First NL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Karlovac 1919(away) | 1-3 | First NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Opatija(away) | 1-1 | First NL |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Jadran LP(away) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Croatia Zmijavci(home) | 1-0 | First NL |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | HNK Cibalia(away) | 0-0 | First NL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Hrvace wins, 1 draw, 3 Kustosija wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | Kustosija 4-2 Hrvace | Second NL |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Hrvace 1-1 Kustosija | Second NL |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Hrvace 1-3 Kustosija | Second NL |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Kustosija 3-1 Hrvace | Second NL |
How many goals should we expect?
Hrvace score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kustosija score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvace | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Kustosija | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hrvace sit 16th in First NL (7 points from 8 matches) and Kustosija sit 15th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kustosija | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 16 | Hrvace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Hrvace vs Kustosija?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hrvace vs Kustosija?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kustosija the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Hrvace.
- Where and when is Hrvace vs Kustosija played?
- Hrvace vs Kustosija is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the First NL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.