KV Mechelen vs AS Eupen: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Malines
The Footlab AI model makes KV Mechelen the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for AS Eupen. The most likely score is 1-1. If KV Mechelen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs AS Eupen?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate KV Mechelen (1,905) and AS Eupen (1,886).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KV Mechelen vs AS Eupen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KV Mechelen
3-4-2-1- 9M. van Brederode
- 6F. Hammar
- 7T. Koudou
- 23S. Michez
- 30Marco Decherf
- 26D. Praet
- 17C. Van Meirvenne
- 3José Marsà
- 44M. Eerdhuijzen
- 20K. Corbanie
- 13Nacho Mirás
AS Eupen
4-1-4-1- 11B. Simakala
- 70M. Fixelles
- 22L. Delaurier-Chaubet
- 18A. Keita
- 7I. Nuhu
- 27M. Müller
- 32I. Plastun
- 2Y. Van Genechten
- 28R. Paeshuyse
- 5N. Gavory
- 24A. Lejoly
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KV Mechelen have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; AS Eupen have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 4-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Anderlecht(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 0-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(away) | 2-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Liège(home) | 3-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Patro Eisden(away) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 KV Mechelen wins, 1 draw, 2 AS Eupen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2024 | AS Eupen 0-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | KV Mechelen 1-0 AS Eupen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 10, 2023 | AS Eupen 2-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 22, 2022 | KV Mechelen 2-1 AS Eupen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 19, 2022 | AS Eupen 1-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 22, 2021 | KV Mechelen 1-3 AS Eupen | Cup |
Last archived meeting: AS Eupen vs KV Mechelen on Feb 4, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
KV Mechelen score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; AS Eupen score 2.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | 1.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| AS Eupen | 2.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about KV Mechelen vs AS Eupen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KV Mechelen vs AS Eupen?
- The Footlab AI model makes KV Mechelen the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for AS Eupen.
- Where and when is KV Mechelen vs AS Eupen played?
- KV Mechelen vs AS Eupen is played on October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at AFAS Stadion, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.