Standard Liege vs Dender: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Luik
The Footlab AI model makes Standard Liege the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Dender. The most likely score is 1-1. If Standard Liege wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Standard Liege vs Dender?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Standard Liege (1,965) and Dender (1,895).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Standard Liege vs Dender
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Standard Liege
4-3-3- 11A. Abid
- 10D. Eckert Ayensa
- 17Bernard Nguene
- 94C. Nielsen
- 22A. Trouillet
- 84R. Touzghar
- 20I. Karamoko
- 25I. Hautekiet
- 13M. Fossey
- 3G. Mortensen
- 1M. Epolo
Dender
5-3-2- 15K. Koton
- 7E. Mballa Amougou
- 18N. Rôdes
- 24M. Viltard
- 53A. Nhaili
- 21K. Cools
- 6B. Kerf
- 45Amine Daali
- 70M. Sambu
- 22I. Breugelmans
- 16J. Devriendt
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Standard Liege have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Dender have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Charleroi(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Gent(away) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 2-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Antwerp(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Club Brugge II(home) | 3-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hoogstraten(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | KAA Gent II(away) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 2-0 | Challenger Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Standard Liege wins, 3 draws, 1 Dender win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Dender 0-1 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Dender 3-2 Standard Liege | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Standard Liege 1-1 Dender | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 17, 2025 | Standard Liege 0-0 Dender | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Dender 1-1 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Standard Liege 1-0 Dender | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Dender vs Standard Liege on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Standard Liege score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dender score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Dender | 1.5 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Standard Liege vs Dender?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Standard Liege vs Dender?
- The Footlab AI model makes Standard Liege the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Dender.
- Where and when is Standard Liege vs Dender played?
- Standard Liege vs Dender is played on October 16, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Maurice Dufrasne, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.