KV Mechelen vs Gent: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Malines
The Footlab AI model makes Gent the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for KV Mechelen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gent wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,395 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Gent?
Gent starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (2,101 vs 1,920).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KV Mechelen vs Gent
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KV Mechelen
3-4-2-1- 9M. van Brederode
- 6F. Hammar
- 7T. Koudou
- 23S. Michez
- 30Marco Decherf
- 26D. Praet
- 17C. Van Meirvenne
- 3José Marsà
- 44M. Eerdhuijzen
- 20K. Corbanie
- 13Nacho Mirás
Gent
3-4-2-1- 11M. Sonko
- 20Tiago Araújo
- 17M. Delorge-Knieper
- 22Leonardo Lopes
- 45B. Goore
- 27T. De Vlieger
- 57M. Volckaert
- 16C. Burgess
- 44S. Van der Heyden
- 5M. Ngom
- 33D. Roef
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KV Mechelen have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Gent have 9, 6 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 4-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Anderlecht(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 0-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Genk(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 KV Mechelen win, 3 draws, 2 Gent wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gent 2-0 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 3, 2026 | KV Mechelen 1-0 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Gent 1-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Gent 3-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2025 | KV Mechelen 1-1 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 7, 2025 | KV Mechelen 3-3 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
KV Mechelen score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gent score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | 1.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Gent | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KV Mechelen sit 14th in Jupiler Pro League (6 points from 8 matches) and Gent sit 1st (22 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 6 |
A question about KV Mechelen vs Gent?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KV Mechelen vs Gent?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gent the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for KV Mechelen.
- Where and when is KV Mechelen vs Gent played?
- KV Mechelen vs Gent is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.