St. Truiden vs Charleroi: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St.-Trond
The Footlab model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Charleroi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St. Truiden vs Charleroi?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate St. Truiden (2,027) and Charleroi (1,987).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Truiden have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Charleroi have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(away) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 St. Truiden win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Charleroi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | St. Truiden 0-2 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Charleroi 1-1 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Charleroi 2-1 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2024 | St. Truiden 1-4 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | St. Truiden 1-0 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Charleroi 1-1 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: St. Truiden vs Charleroi on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
St. Truiden score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Charleroi score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Charleroi | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
St. Truiden sit 12th in Jupiler Pro League (2 points from 2 matches) and Charleroi sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Charleroi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St. Truiden vs Charleroi?
- The Footlab model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Charleroi.
- Where and when is St. Truiden vs Charleroi played?
- St. Truiden vs Charleroi is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.