Match

St. Truiden vs Charleroi: prediction and stats

Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St.-Trond

St. TruidenCharleroi

The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Charleroi. The most likely score is 1-1. If St. Truiden wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win St. Truiden vs Charleroi?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate St. Truiden (2,041) and Charleroi (2,077).

41%27%32%
St. Truiden winDrawCharleroi win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for St. Truiden vs Charleroi

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

St. Truiden

4-2-3-1
  1. 9S. Baždar
  1. 8A. Sissako
  2. 10I. Sebaoui
  3. 14R. Merlen
  4. 71R. Araki
  5. 38K. Matsuzawa
  1. 60R. Vanwesemael
  2. 5S. Taniguchi
  3. 3T. Hata
  4. 26V. Musliu
  1. 16L. Kokubo

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
  1. 21A. Scheidler
  1. 18Y. Khalifi
  2. 6A. Boukamir
  3. 14P. Pflücke
  4. 8J. Romsaas
  5. 20F. Situmona Mbemba
  1. 3K. Van Den Kerkhof
  2. 24M. Nzita
  3. 95C. Keita
  4. 4A. Ousou
  1. 30M. Koné

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:37 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Truiden have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Charleroi have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

St. Truiden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Lommel United(home)4-1Cup
Oct 15, 2026Saburtalo(home)2-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 11, 2026KV Mechelen(away)3-4Jupiler Pro League
Sep 20, 2026KVC Westerlo(home)0-2Jupiler Pro League
Sep 12, 2026SK Beveren(away)0-2Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Albert Quévy-Mons(away)1-0Cup
Oct 11, 2026Standard Liege(away)1-0Jupiler Pro League
Sep 19, 2026Cercle Brugge(home)3-2Jupiler Pro League
Sep 13, 2026Zulte Waregem(away)1-0Jupiler Pro League
Sep 5, 2026Union St. Gilloise(home)2-3Jupiler Pro League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 St. Truiden win, 2 draws, 3 Charleroi wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026St. Truiden 0-2 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
Aug 3, 2025Charleroi 1-1 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
Dec 21, 2024Charleroi 2-1 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
Aug 3, 2024St. Truiden 1-4 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
Dec 23, 2023St. Truiden 1-0 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
Sep 3, 2023Charleroi 1-1 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League

Last archived meeting: St. Truiden vs Charleroi on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

St. Truiden score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Charleroi score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
St. Truiden1.71.746/158/15
Charleroi1.81.169/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

St. Truiden sit 12th in Jupiler Pro League (8 points from 8 matches) and Charleroi sit 3rd (21 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Charleroi870116721
12St. Truiden822415168

A question about St. Truiden vs Charleroi?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for St. Truiden vs Charleroi?
The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Charleroi.
Where and when is St. Truiden vs Charleroi played?
St. Truiden vs Charleroi is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, in the Jupiler Pro League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: St. Truiden and Charleroi

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