Match

KV Mechelen vs RAAL La Louvière: prediction and stats

Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Malines

KV MechelenRAAL La Louvière

The Footlab model makes KV Mechelen the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for RAAL La Louvière. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win KV Mechelen vs RAAL La Louvière?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate KV Mechelen (1,905) and RAAL La Louvière (1,870).

KV Mechelen win44 %
Draw27 %
RAAL La Louvière win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KV Mechelen have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; RAAL La Louvière have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

KV Mechelen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Charleroi(away)0-2Jupiler Pro League
Aug 16, 2026Standard Liege(home)3-3Jupiler Pro League
Aug 9, 2026Gent(away)0-2Jupiler Pro League
Aug 1, 2026Dunkerque(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Willem II(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
RAAL La Louvière
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Standard Liege(away)0-2Jupiler Pro League
Aug 16, 2026Gent(home)1-2Jupiler Pro League
Aug 9, 2026Anderlecht(away)1-2Jupiler Pro League
Aug 1, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Samsunspor(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 3 KV Mechelen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 RAAL La Louvière win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 22, 2026RAAL La Louvière 0-2 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
Aug 30, 2025KV Mechelen 3-2 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
Oct 30, 2024KV Mechelen 3-1 RAAL La LouvièreCup

Last archived meeting: RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

KV Mechelen score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; RAAL La Louvière score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
KV Mechelen1.11.846/159/15
RAAL La Louvière0.71.826/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

KV Mechelen sit 14th in Jupiler Pro League (1 points from 3 matches) and RAAL La Louvière sit 15th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14KV Mechelen3012371
15RAAL La Louvière3003260

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for KV Mechelen vs RAAL La Louvière?
The Footlab model makes KV Mechelen the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for RAAL La Louvière.
Where and when is KV Mechelen vs RAAL La Louvière played?
KV Mechelen vs RAAL La Louvière is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: KV Mechelen and RAAL La Louvière

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