Gent vs Lommel United: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Planet Group Arena, Gent
The Footlab AI model makes Gent the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Lommel United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gent wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gent vs Lommel United?
Gent starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (2,100 vs 1,978).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gent vs Lommel United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gent
3-4-2-1- 11M. Sonko
- 20Tiago Araújo
- 17M. Delorge-Knieper
- 27T. De Vlieger
- 57M. Volckaert
- 22Leonardo Lopes
- 45B. Goore
- 16C. Burgess
- 44S. Van der Heyden
- 3M. Paskotši
- 33D. Roef
Lommel United
4-2-3-1- 9Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
- 15L. Schoofs
- 10T. Reyners
- 11S. Appuah
- 7J. Talvitie
- 6J. Pelupessy
- 2J. van Duiven
- 4S. Adewoye
- 3T. Eyoma
- 8N. Rommens
- 23Matthias Pieklak
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gent have 10 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats; Lommel United have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Aarhus(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Genk(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Diksmuide(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 0-5 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Gent win, 0 draws, 0 Lommel United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2021 | Lommel United 0-2 Gent | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Gent score 1.4 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lommel United score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent | 1.4 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Lommel United | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gent sit 1st in Jupiler Pro League (22 points from 8 matches) and Lommel United sit 10th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
| 10 | Lommel United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
A question about Gent vs Lommel United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gent vs Lommel United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gent the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Lommel United.
- Where and when is Gent vs Lommel United played?
- Gent vs Lommel United is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Planet Group Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.