L'Aquila vs Maceratese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia, L’Aquila
The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Maceratese. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win L'Aquila vs Maceratese?
L'Aquila starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,560).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for L'Aquila vs Maceratese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
L'Aquila
Not enough data to predict the L'Aquila lineup.
Maceratese
4-3-3- 9Matteo Colombi
- 16Federico Palmieri
- 15D. Allegretti
- 8Alberto Quadri
- 7L. De Grazia
- 10Gianluca Turchetta
- 14Christian Ventola
- 5D. Marchetti
- 6Filippo Gattari
- 4A. Bondioli
- 22F. Forte
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Aquila have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Maceratese have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ancona(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 L'Aquila win, 0 draws, 1 Maceratese win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | L'Aquila 1-0 Maceratese | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Maceratese 2-1 L'Aquila | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: L'Aquila vs Maceratese on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
L'Aquila score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maceratese score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Aquila | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Maceratese | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
L'Aquila sit 1st in Serie D - Girone F (17 points from 7 matches) and Maceratese sit 14th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 14 | Maceratese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
A question about L'Aquila vs Maceratese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for L'Aquila vs Maceratese?
- The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Maceratese.
- Where and when is L'Aquila vs Maceratese played?
- L'Aquila vs Maceratese is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026TeramovsAncona
- Nov 22, 2026Sporting TrestinavsMontecchio Gallo
- Nov 22, 2026Real GiulianovavsNotaresco
- Nov 22, 2026Termoli CalciovsPietralunga
- Nov 22, 2026Vigor SenigalliavsRecanatese
- Nov 22, 2026Atletico AscolivsSantegidiese
- Nov 22, 2026FossombronevsFoligno Calcio
- Nov 22, 2026Lanciano FCvsAngelana