Where and when is L'Aquila vs Maceratese played?

L'Aquila vs Maceratese is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia, in the Serie D - Girone F.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

L'Aquila vs Maceratese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia, L’Aquila

L'Aquila

Maceratese

The Footlab model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Maceratese. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win L'Aquila vs Maceratese?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate L'Aquila (1,726) and Maceratese (1,644).

L'Aquila win58 %

Draw24 %

Maceratese win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Aquila have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Maceratese have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

L'Aquila
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Termoli Calcio(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 26, 2026	Ancona(home)	0-0	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 19, 2026	Ostia Mare(away)	1-2	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 12, 2026	Sammaurese(away)	0-0	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 2, 2026	Notaresco(home)	0-2	Serie D - Girone F

Maceratese
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Chieti(away)	0-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 26, 2026	Real Giulianova(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 19, 2026	Unipomezia(away)	0-3	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 12, 2026	Recanatese(home)	2-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 2, 2026	Castelfidardo Calcio(away)	2-2	Serie D - Girone F

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 L'Aquila win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Maceratese win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 15, 2026	L'Aquila 1-0 Maceratese	Serie D - Girone F
Oct 12, 2025	Maceratese 2-1 L'Aquila	Serie D - Girone F

Last archived meeting: L'Aquila vs Maceratese on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

L'Aquila score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maceratese score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
L'Aquila	0.9	1.3	5	8/15	6/15
Maceratese	1.0	1.3	3	5/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

L'Aquila sit 6th in Serie D - Girone F (51 points from 34 matches) and Maceratese sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	L'Aquila	34	14	9	11	53	44	51
12	Maceratese	34	11	5	18	43	49	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for L'Aquila vs Maceratese?: The Footlab model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Maceratese.
Where and when is L'Aquila vs Maceratese played?: L'Aquila vs Maceratese is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia, in the Serie D - Girone F.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.