Match

Teramo vs Ancona: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gaetano Bonolis, Teramo

TeramoAncona

The Footlab model makes Teramo the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Ancona. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Teramo vs Ancona?

A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Teramo (1,879) and Ancona (1,799).

Teramo win47 %
Draw27 %
Ancona win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Teramo have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Ancona have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Teramo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Notaresco(home)3-1Serie D - Girone F
May 10, 2026Atletico Ascoli(home)2-1Serie D - Girone F
May 3, 2026Atletico Ascoli(away)1-1Serie D - Girone F
Apr 26, 2026Recanatese(home)2-2Serie D - Girone F
Apr 19, 2026Victor San Marino(away)3-1Serie D - Girone F
Ancona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Notaresco(home)1-3Serie D - Girone F
May 3, 2026Notaresco(home)1-1Serie D - Girone F
Apr 26, 2026L'Aquila(away)0-0Serie D - Girone F
Apr 19, 2026Sammaurese(home)3-0Serie D - Girone F
Apr 12, 2026Fossombrone(away)2-1Serie D - Girone F

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Teramo win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ancona win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 2, 2026Ancona 0-2 TeramoSerie D - Girone F
Nov 23, 2025Teramo 3-0 AnconaSerie D - Girone F
Feb 9, 2025Ancona 0-2 TeramoSerie D - Girone F
Oct 13, 2024Teramo 1-0 AnconaSerie D - Girone F
Apr 14, 2022Ancona 2-1 TeramoSerie C - Girone B
Dec 12, 2021Teramo 0-4 AnconaSerie C - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Ancona vs Teramo on Apr 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Teramo score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ancona score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Teramo1.81.0411/159/15
Ancona1.31.047/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Teramo sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone F (74 points from 34 matches) and Ancona sit 2nd (76 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Ancona342374592276
3Teramo3421112652974

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Teramo vs Ancona?
The Footlab model makes Teramo the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Ancona.
Where and when is Teramo vs Ancona played?
Teramo vs Ancona is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gaetano Bonolis, in the Serie D - Girone F.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Teramo and Ancona

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