Vigor Senigallia vs Recanatese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli, Senigallia
The Footlab AI model makes Vigor Senigallia the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Recanatese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vigor Senigallia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vigor Senigallia vs Recanatese?
Vigor Senigallia starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,658 vs 1,539).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vigor Senigallia vs Recanatese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vigor Senigallia
Not enough data to predict the Vigor Senigallia lineup.
Recanatese
Not enough data to predict the Recanatese lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vigor Senigallia have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Recanatese have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 4-6 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Maceratese(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Vigor Senigallia wins, 2 draws, 2 Recanatese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Recanatese 2-1 Vigor Senigallia | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Vigor Senigallia 1-1 Recanatese | Serie D - Girone F |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Recanatese 1-0 Vigor Senigallia | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Vigor Senigallia 0-0 Recanatese | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Recanatese vs Vigor Senigallia on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vigor Senigallia score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Recanatese score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vigor Senigallia | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Recanatese | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vigor Senigallia sit 5th in Serie D - Girone F (13 points from 7 matches) and Recanatese sit 15th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vigor Senigallia | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 13 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Vigor Senigallia vs Recanatese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vigor Senigallia vs Recanatese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vigor Senigallia the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Recanatese.
- Where and when is Vigor Senigallia vs Recanatese played?
- Vigor Senigallia vs Recanatese is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.