Match

L'Aquila vs Teramo: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia, L’Aquila

L'AquilaTeramo

The Footlab model makes Teramo the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for L'Aquila. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win L'Aquila vs Teramo?

Teramo starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,879 vs 1,726).

L'Aquila win27 %
Draw26 %
Teramo win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Aquila have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Teramo have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

L'Aquila
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Termoli Calcio(away)1-1Serie D - Girone F
Apr 26, 2026Ancona(home)0-0Serie D - Girone F
Apr 19, 2026Ostia Mare(away)1-2Serie D - Girone F
Apr 12, 2026Sammaurese(away)0-0Serie D - Girone F
Apr 2, 2026Notaresco(home)0-2Serie D - Girone F
Teramo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Notaresco(home)3-1Serie D - Girone F
May 10, 2026Atletico Ascoli(home)2-1Serie D - Girone F
May 3, 2026Atletico Ascoli(away)1-1Serie D - Girone F
Apr 26, 2026Recanatese(home)2-2Serie D - Girone F
Apr 19, 2026Victor San Marino(away)3-1Serie D - Girone F

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 L'Aquila win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Teramo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026L'Aquila 1-3 TeramoSerie D - Girone F
Nov 9, 2025Teramo 5-2 L'AquilaSerie D - Girone F
May 4, 2025L'Aquila 3-2 TeramoSerie D - Girone F
Dec 22, 2024Teramo 0-2 L'AquilaSerie D - Girone F

Last archived meeting: L'Aquila vs Teramo on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

L'Aquila score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Teramo score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
L'Aquila0.91.358/156/15
Teramo1.81.0411/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

L'Aquila sit 6th in Serie D - Girone F (51 points from 34 matches) and Teramo sit 3rd (74 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Teramo3421112652974
6L'Aquila3414911534451

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for L'Aquila vs Teramo?
The Footlab model makes Teramo the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for L'Aquila.
Where and when is L'Aquila vs Teramo played?
L'Aquila vs Teramo is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia, in the Serie D - Girone F.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: L'Aquila and Teramo

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