Fossombrone vs Teramo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Fossombrone, Fossombrone
The Footlab AI model makes Teramo the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Fossombrone. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fossombrone vs Teramo?
Teramo starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (1,823 vs 1,593).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fossombrone vs Teramo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fossombrone
Not enough data to predict the Fossombrone lineup.
Teramo
Not enough data to predict the Teramo lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fossombrone have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Teramo have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Unipomezia(away) | 4-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(home) | 6-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Giulianova(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Fossombrone win, 1 draw, 3 Teramo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Teramo 2-1 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Fossombrone 0-1 Teramo | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 18, 2025 | Teramo 1-1 Fossombrone | Serie D - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Teramo 1-0 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Fossombrone 4-1 Teramo | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Teramo vs Fossombrone on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fossombrone score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Teramo score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fossombrone | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Teramo | 2.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fossombrone sit 10th in Serie D - Girone F (10 points from 7 matches) and Teramo sit 2nd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Teramo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | Fossombrone | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
A question about Fossombrone vs Teramo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fossombrone vs Teramo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Teramo the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Fossombrone.
- Where and when is Fossombrone vs Teramo played?
- Fossombrone vs Teramo is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Fossombrone, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026MaceratesevsMontecchio Gallo
- Oct 25, 2026Sporting TrestinavsSantegidiese
- Oct 25, 2026Real GiulianovavsPietralunga
- Oct 25, 2026Termoli CalciovsAtletico Ascoli
- Oct 25, 2026Vigor SenigalliavsAncona
- Oct 25, 2026L'AquilavsFoligno Calcio
- Oct 25, 2026AngelanavsRecanatese
- Oct 25, 2026Lanciano FCvsNotaresco