L'Escala vs Atlètic Lleida: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal, L'Escala
The Footlab model makes Atlètic Lleida the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for L'Escala. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win L'Escala vs Atlètic Lleida?
Atlètic Lleida starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,803 vs 1,703).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Escala have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Atlètic Lleida have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Tona(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lleida Esportiu(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vilanova(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Can Vidalet(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | San Cristóbal(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Manresa(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Reddis(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barbastro(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Barcelona B(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 L'Escala win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Atlètic Lleida win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | L'Escala 0-2 Atlètic Lleida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Atlètic Lleida 4-0 L'Escala | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: L'Escala vs Atlètic Lleida on Mar 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
L'Escala score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atlètic Lleida score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Escala | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Atlètic Lleida | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | L'Escala | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 51 | 51 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for L'Escala vs Atlètic Lleida?
- The Footlab model makes Atlètic Lleida the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for L'Escala.
- Where and when is L'Escala vs Atlètic Lleida played?
- L'Escala vs Atlètic Lleida is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.