Montañesa vs Tona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Nou Barris, Barcelona
The Footlab AI model makes Montañesa the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Tona. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montañesa vs Tona?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Montañesa (1,746) and Tona (1,732).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montañesa vs Tona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montañesa
Not enough data to predict the Montañesa lineup.
Tona
Not enough data to predict the Tona lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montañesa have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Tona have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | L'Escala(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Martinenc(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Europa II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Grama(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Badalona(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Grama(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Montañesa wins, 2 draws, 1 Tona win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Tona 0-0 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Montañesa 1-0 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Tona 2-2 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Montañesa 1-4 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Tona 1-2 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Montañesa 3-2 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Montañesa score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tona score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montañesa | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Tona | 0.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montañesa sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (12 points from 6 matches) and Tona sit 16th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montañesa | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 16 | Tona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Montañesa vs Tona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montañesa vs Tona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montañesa the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Tona.
- Where and when is Montañesa vs Tona played?
- Montañesa vs Tona is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Nou Barris, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.