La Calzada vs River Ebro: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Estadio El Rollo, Santo Domingo de la Calzada
The Footlab AI model makes La Calzada the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for River Ebro. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Calzada vs River Ebro?
La Calzada starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,675 vs 1,555).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for La Calzada vs River Ebro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
La Calzada
Not enough data to predict the La Calzada lineup.
River Ebro
4-3-3- JJhan Martínez
- AAdrián Montoya
- OOmar Laanaya
- DDani Garrido
- SSolomon Teiko
- RRubén Melero Ladrón
- AAyoub Jaouak
- RRicardo Sáinz
- GGonzalo Hernandez
- ÁÁlvaro Ruiz
- DDavid Martinez
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Calzada have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; River Ebro have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Berceo(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Comillas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Varea(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vianés(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Casalarreina(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Pradejón(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Marcial(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cenicero(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Yagüe(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Berceo(away) | 0-7 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 La Calzada wins, 0 draws, 1 River Ebro win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | La Calzada 1-0 River Ebro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | River Ebro 0-2 La Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 12, 2024 | La Calzada 2-1 River Ebro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | River Ebro 1-3 La Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | River Ebro 1-0 La Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Dec 18, 2022 | La Calzada 4-2 River Ebro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
Last archived meeting: La Calzada vs River Ebro on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
La Calzada score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; River Ebro score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Calzada | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| River Ebro | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Calzada sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (12 points from 6 matches) and River Ebro sit 16th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | La Calzada | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| 16 | River Ebro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
A question about La Calzada vs River Ebro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Calzada vs River Ebro?
- The Footlab AI model makes La Calzada the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for River Ebro.
- Where and when is La Calzada vs River Ebro played?
- La Calzada vs River Ebro is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Rollo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.