La Nucía vs Ucam Murcia: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 · Matchday 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Olímpic Camilo Cano, La Nucia
The Footlab AI model makes La Nucía the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Ucam Murcia. The most likely score is 1-1. If La Nucía wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Nucía vs Ucam Murcia?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate La Nucía (1,859) and Ucam Murcia (1,933).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for La Nucía vs Ucam Murcia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
La Nucía
Not enough data to predict the La Nucía lineup.
Ucam Murcia
4-3-3- 11Dani Aquino
- 7Alvarito
- 18J. Pontones
- 19Juanma Bravo
- 8U. Urzelay
- 20Alberto Soto
- 6O. Jaiteh
- 2J. Ruiz
- 4Ramirez Javi
- 23M. Sevila
- 1F. Ackermann
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 10:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Nucía have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ucam Murcia have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Castellonense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 La Nucía wins, 0 draws, 1 Ucam Murcia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2022 | Ucam Murcia 1-0 La Nucía | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Ucam Murcia vs La Nucía on Jul 30, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
La Nucía score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ucam Murcia score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Nucía | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Ucam Murcia | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Nucía sit 5th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (16 points from 10 matches) and Ucam Murcia sit 3rd (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ucam Murcia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
| 5 | La Nucía | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 16 |
A question about La Nucía vs Ucam Murcia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Nucía vs Ucam Murcia?
- The Footlab AI model makes La Nucía the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Ucam Murcia.
- Where and when is La Nucía vs Ucam Murcia played?
- La Nucía vs Ucam Murcia is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Olímpic Camilo Cano, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.