Castellonense vs Elche II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Camp Poliesportiu Municipal Antonio Escuriet, Castelló
The Footlab AI model makes Castellonense the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Elche II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellonense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellonense vs Elche II?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Castellonense (1,905) and Elche II (1,826).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castellonense vs Elche II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castellonense
4-3-3- 9I. Garijo
- 15Didac Castellá
- 16J. Rodriguez
- 18Diego de Pedro
- 19J. Winstanley
- 10A. Murillo
- 3Primi Férriz
- 5S. Candel
- 22C. Badal Andani
- 7J. Pulpon
- 1J. Company
Elche II
4-3-3- 42Héctor Peña
- 35Ali Houary
- FFlavio Dion
- 37Mario
- MMontero
- 18Rubén Saiz
- JJavi Gómez
- VVicente Agulló
- DDiego Rosado
- 43Nico Salvador
- 40Owen Bosch
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 12:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellonense have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Elche II have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Valencia II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Castellonense win, 0 draws, 1 Elche II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | Castellonense 3-0 Elche II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Elche II 6-0 Castellonense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Castellonense vs Elche II on Feb 18, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Castellonense score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Elche II score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellonense | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Elche II | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellonense sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (16 points from 8 matches) and Elche II sit 16th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Castellonense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 16 | Elche II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 7 |
A question about Castellonense vs Elche II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellonense vs Elche II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellonense the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Elche II.
- Where and when is Castellonense vs Elche II played?
- Castellonense vs Elche II is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Poliesportiu Municipal Antonio Escuriet, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.