Intercity vs Peña Deportiva: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Antonio Solana, Alicante
The Footlab model makes Peña Deportiva the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Intercity. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Intercity vs Peña Deportiva?
Peña Deportiva starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Intercity have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Peña Deportiva have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Jove Español(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 30, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
How many goals should we expect?
Intercity score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Peña Deportiva score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercity | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Peña Deportiva | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Peña Deportiva | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 42 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Intercity vs Peña Deportiva?
- The Footlab model makes Peña Deportiva the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Intercity.
- Where and when is Intercity vs Peña Deportiva played?
- Intercity vs Peña Deportiva is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Antonio Solana, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.