Alcoyano vs Lorca Deportiva: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Collao, Alcoy
The Footlab AI model makes Alcoyano the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Lorca Deportiva. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcoyano wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,075 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcoyano vs Lorca Deportiva?
On Elo ratings, Alcoyano has 1,956 points and Lorca Deportiva 1,891.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcoyano vs Lorca Deportiva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcoyano
Not enough data to predict the Alcoyano lineup.
Lorca Deportiva
4-3-3- 10Dani Albiar
- 19G. Lopez
- 17José Naranjo
- 8Á. Martinez Nicolas
- 24J. Acevedo
- 21A. Heredia
- 12Jaime Escobar
- 18Fran Tafalla
- 15Fromsa
- 5H. Galiano
- 13F. Arbol
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 05:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcoyano have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Lorca Deportiva have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Alcoyano score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lorca Deportiva score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcoyano | 0.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Lorca Deportiva | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcoyano sit 8th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (10 points from 6 matches) and Lorca Deportiva sit 10th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Alcoyano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
A question about Alcoyano vs Lorca Deportiva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcoyano vs Lorca Deportiva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcoyano the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Lorca Deportiva.
- Where and when is Alcoyano vs Lorca Deportiva played?
- Alcoyano vs Lorca Deportiva is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Collao, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.