La Roche VF vs Rouen: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 30Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade Henri Desgrange, La Roche-sur-Yon
The Footlab model makes La Roche VF the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Rouen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Roche VF vs Rouen?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate La Roche VF (1,933) and Rouen (1,859).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Roche VF have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Rouen have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Cannes(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Amiens(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Versailles(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Nantes(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Quevilly(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Orleans(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cannes(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Boulogne(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
La Roche VF score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rouen score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Roche VF | 1.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Rouen | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Roche VF sit 3rd in Ligue 3 (7 points from 3 matches) and Rouen sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rouen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | La Roche VF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Roche VF vs Rouen?
- The Footlab model makes La Roche VF the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Rouen.
- Where and when is La Roche VF vs Rouen played?
- La Roche VF vs Rouen is played on April 24, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Henri Desgrange, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.