Quevilly vs Thionville Lusitanos: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Matchday 30Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade Robert Diochon, Le Petit-Quevilly
The Footlab AI model makes Thionville Lusitanos the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Quevilly. The most likely score is 1-1. If Thionville Lusitanos wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,632 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quevilly vs Thionville Lusitanos?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Quevilly (1,823) and Thionville Lusitanos (1,856).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Quevilly vs Thionville Lusitanos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Quevilly
3-5-2- 20G. Capuano
- 11D. Seck
- 19Y. Gazzaoui
- 7S. Come Ruiz
- 17Djibril Sarr
- 29R. Silva
- 4R. Padovani
- 26V. Theresin
- 18M. Hamdi
- 28S. Mopila
- 16M. Silistrie
Thionville Lusitanos
4-4-2- 9M. Bouhmidi
- 7K. Tubio
- 26E. Montet
- 8S. Kilic
- 20B. Diarra
- 22J. Moustaid
- 6M. Aljic
- 5J. Atangana
- 23S. Bouzar
- 17D. Luvualu
- 40W. Bedfian
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 01:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quevilly have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Thionville Lusitanos have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Villefranche(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bastia(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Orleans(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Amiens(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Cannes(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Amiens(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Versailles(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | La Roche VF(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Quevilly score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Thionville Lusitanos score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quevilly | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Thionville Lusitanos | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Quevilly sit 10th in Ligue 3 (16 points from 12 matches) and Thionville Lusitanos sit 11th (16 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Quevilly | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 16 |
| 11 | Thionville Lusitanos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 16 |
A question about Quevilly vs Thionville Lusitanos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quevilly vs Thionville Lusitanos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Thionville Lusitanos the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Quevilly.
- Where and when is Quevilly vs Thionville Lusitanos played?
- Quevilly vs Thionville Lusitanos is played on April 24, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Robert Diochon, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.