Le Puy Foot vs Concarneau: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 30Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade Charles Massot, Espaly-Saint-Marcel
The Footlab model makes Le Puy Foot the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Concarneau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Concarneau?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Le Puy Foot (1,868) and Concarneau (1,772).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Puy Foot have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Concarneau have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Amiens(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Versailles(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bastia(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Montpellier(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Dijon(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Villefranche(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Quevilly(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Orleans(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Laval(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Le Puy Foot win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Concarneau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Concarneau 0-3 Le Puy Foot | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Le Puy Foot 1-1 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
| May 12, 2023 | Le Puy Foot 2-1 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
| Dec 16, 2022 | Concarneau 0-0 Le Puy Foot | Ligue 3 |
| Jan 24, 2020 | Le Puy Foot 0-1 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 16, 2019 | Concarneau 1-1 Le Puy Foot | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Concarneau vs Le Puy Foot on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Le Puy Foot score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Concarneau score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Puy Foot | 1.3 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Concarneau | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Le Puy Foot sit 6th in Ligue 3 (6 points from 3 matches) and Concarneau sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Le Puy Foot | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Concarneau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Le Puy Foot vs Concarneau?
- The Footlab model makes Le Puy Foot the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Concarneau.
- Where and when is Le Puy Foot vs Concarneau played?
- Le Puy Foot vs Concarneau is played on April 24, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Charles Massot, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.