La Virgen del Camino vs Cultural Leonesa II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Los Dominicos, La Virgen Del Camino
The Footlab model makes La Virgen del Camino the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Cultural Leonesa II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Virgen del Camino vs Cultural Leonesa II?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate La Virgen del Camino (1,709) and Cultural Leonesa II (1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Virgen del Camino have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Cultural Leonesa II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mojados(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 1, 2026 | Almazán(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Becerril Campos(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Numancia II(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 La Virgen del Camino win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Cultural Leonesa II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino 1-0 Cultural Leonesa II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Cultural Leonesa II 0-1 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Cultural Leonesa II 0-1 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | La Virgen del Camino 0-0 Cultural Leonesa II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Cultural Leonesa II 1-1 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 23, 2023 | La Virgen del Camino 1-2 Cultural Leonesa II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: La Virgen del Camino vs Cultural Leonesa II on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
La Virgen del Camino score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cultural Leonesa II score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Virgen del Camino | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Cultural Leonesa II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Virgen del Camino sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (44 points from 34 matches) and Cultural Leonesa II sit 10th (42 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | La Virgen del Camino | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 37 | 44 |
| 10 | Cultural Leonesa II | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 43 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Virgen del Camino vs Cultural Leonesa II?
- The Footlab model makes La Virgen del Camino the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Cultural Leonesa II.
- Where and when is La Virgen del Camino vs Cultural Leonesa II played?
- La Virgen del Camino vs Cultural Leonesa II is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Los Dominicos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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