Bembibre vs Almazán: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, Bembibre
The Footlab AI model makes Bembibre the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Almazán. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bembibre wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 3,334 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bembibre vs Almazán?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Bembibre (1,728) and Almazán (1,780).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bembibre vs Almazán
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bembibre
Not enough data to predict the Bembibre lineup.
Almazán
Not enough data to predict the Almazán lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 01:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bembibre have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Almazán have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Villaralbo(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Arandina(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(away) | 2-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Bembibre wins, 4 draws, 2 Almazán wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Bembibre 2-2 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Almazán 1-1 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Bembibre 1-1 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Almazán 4-1 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Bembibre 0-1 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Almazán 2-2 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bembibre score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Almazán score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bembibre | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Almazán | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bembibre sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (14 points from 8 matches) and Almazán sit 9th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bembibre | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 9 | Almazán | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Bembibre vs Almazán?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bembibre vs Almazán?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bembibre the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Almazán.
- Where and when is Bembibre vs Almazán played?
- Bembibre vs Almazán is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027GuijuelovsBurgos Promesas
- Apr 18, 2027ArandinavsColegios Diocesanos
- Apr 18, 2027Cristo AtléticovsSalamanca II
- Apr 18, 2027La Virgen del CaminovsCultural Leonesa II
- Apr 18, 2027Mirandés IIvsVillaralbo
- Apr 18, 2027Atlético MansillésvsUD Santa Marta
- Apr 18, 2027TuréganovsCalasanz de Soria
- Apr 18, 2027Unionistas IIvsPalencia CF