Match

Bembibre vs Almazán: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, Bembibre

BembibreAlmazán

The Footlab model makes Almazán the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bembibre vs Almazán?

Almazán starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,763 vs 1,655).

Bembibre win35 %
Draw27 %
Almazán win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bembibre have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Almazán have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bembibre
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Palencia CF(away)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Becerril Campos(home)4-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Arandina(away)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Mirandés II(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026UD Santa Marta(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Almazán
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026UD Santa Marta(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 1, 2026La Virgen del Camino(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Atlético Mansillés(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026Atlético Mansillés(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Bembibre win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Almazán win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026Bembibre 2-2 AlmazánTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 7, 2025Almazán 1-1 BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Feb 22, 2025Bembibre 1-1 AlmazánTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 12, 2024Almazán 4-1 BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 28, 2024Bembibre 0-1 AlmazánTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 14, 2023Almazán 2-2 BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Bembibre vs Almazán on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bembibre score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Almazán score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bembibre1.31.659/158/15
Almazán1.70.947/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bembibre sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (34 points from 34 matches) and Almazán sit 7th (48 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Almazán34121210493848
14Bembibre3481016385234

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bembibre vs Almazán?
The Footlab model makes Almazán the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Bembibre.
Where and when is Bembibre vs Almazán played?
Bembibre vs Almazán is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bembibre and Almazán

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