Where and when is Arandina vs Colegios Diocesanos played?

Arandina vs Colegios Diocesanos is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Montecillo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arandina vs Colegios Diocesanos: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Montecillo, Aranda de Duero

Arandina

Colegios Diocesanos

The Footlab model makes Arandina the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Colegios Diocesanos. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arandina vs Colegios Diocesanos?

Arandina starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,715 vs 1,589).

Arandina win58 %

Draw24 %

Colegios Diocesanos win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arandina have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Colegios Diocesanos have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arandina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Becerril Campos(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Mirandés II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Bembibre(home)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	UD Santa Marta(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	La Virgen del Camino(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Colegios Diocesanos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Cristo Atlético(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Villaralbo(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026	Mirandés II(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026	Unionistas II(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 12, 2026	Guijuelo(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Arandina win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Colegios Diocesanos win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 28, 2026	Arandina 2-0 Colegios Diocesanos	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 18, 2025	Colegios Diocesanos 2-0 Arandina	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 19, 2022	Colegios Diocesanos 0-2 Arandina	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 7, 2021	Arandina 3-1 Colegios Diocesanos	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 20, 2021	Colegios Diocesanos 0-2 Arandina	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Feb 3, 2021	Arandina 6-0 Colegios Diocesanos	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Arandina vs Colegios Diocesanos on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arandina score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Colegios Diocesanos score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arandina	1.3	1.5	2	9/15	7/15
Colegios Diocesanos	1.0	2.1	3	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arandina sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (37 points from 34 matches) and Colegios Diocesanos sit 13th (36 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Arandina	34	9	10	15	32	46	37
13	Colegios Diocesanos	34	10	6	18	33	54	36

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arandina vs Colegios Diocesanos?: The Footlab model makes Arandina the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Colegios Diocesanos.
Where and when is Arandina vs Colegios Diocesanos played?: Arandina vs Colegios Diocesanos is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Montecillo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.