Laagri vs Flora Tallinn: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Laagri kunstmuru, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes Flora Tallinn the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Laagri. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Laagri vs Flora Tallinn?
Flora Tallinn starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,714 vs 1,531).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Laagri have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Flora Tallinn have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(home) | 1-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Tamper(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kuressaare(away) | 2-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vaprus(away) | 2-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kuressaare(home) | 2-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(home) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Laagri(home) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Laagri win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Flora Tallinn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Flora Tallinn 1-0 Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Flora Tallinn 5-0 Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Laagri 2-0 Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Laagri 1-2 Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Flora Tallinn 3-1 Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| May 9, 2025 | Laagri 0-3 Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
Last archived meeting: Flora Tallinn vs Laagri on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Laagri score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Flora Tallinn score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laagri | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Flora Tallinn | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Laagri sit 6th in Meistriliiga (28 points from 24 matches) and Flora Tallinn sit 3rd (42 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Flora Tallinn | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 44 | 25 | 42 |
| 6 | Laagri | 24 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 40 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Laagri vs Flora Tallinn?
- The Footlab model makes Flora Tallinn the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Laagri.
- Where and when is Laagri vs Flora Tallinn played?
- Laagri vs Flora Tallinn is played on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Laagri kunstmuru, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.