Trans Narva vs Nõmme United: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kalevi Staadion, Narva
The Footlab AI model makes Trans Narva the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Nõmme United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Trans Narva wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trans Narva vs Nõmme United?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Trans Narva (1,492) and Nõmme United (1,519).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trans Narva vs Nõmme United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trans Narva
4-3-3- 10A. Gero
- 7M. Velijev
- 47N. Baljabkin
- 6G. Šlein
- 8Stanislav Agaptšev
- 48W. Awusi
- 3T. Berardozzi
- 14A. Filatov
- 4A. Ivanyushin
- 5C. Campagna
- 30Íker Venteo
Nõmme United
3-4-1-2- 20K. Mätas
- 2Y. Morishige
- 51Z. Beglarishvili
- 10A. Frolov
- 26K. Oostenbrink
- 7A. Torres
- 14N. Vassiljev
- 45H. Järvelaid
- 50S. Geiger
- 6M. Palts
- 71G. Pürg
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trans Narva have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Nõmme United have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Kuressaare(home) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vaprus(away) | 2-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(home) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(away) | 0-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(home) | 2-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Laagri(away) | 0-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tammeka(away) | 0-4 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Paide(home) | 1-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(home) | 2-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(away) | 2-1 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Trans Narva wins, 0 draws, 3 Nõmme United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nõmme United 1-2 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Trans Narva 1-2 Nõmme United | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Nõmme United 5-1 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Trans Narva 3-4 Nõmme United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Nõmme United 0-4 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Trans Narva 2-1 Nõmme United | Meistriliiga |
Last archived meeting: Nõmme United vs Trans Narva on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trans Narva score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nõmme United score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trans Narva | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Nõmme United | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trans Narva sit 10th in Meistriliiga (20 points from 31 matches) and Nõmme United sit 9th (28 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nõmme United | 31 | 9 | 1 | 21 | 47 | 74 | 28 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | 68 | 20 |
A question about Trans Narva vs Nõmme United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trans Narva vs Nõmme United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Trans Narva the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Nõmme United.
- Where and when is Trans Narva vs Nõmme United played?
- Trans Narva vs Nõmme United is played on October 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kalevi Staadion, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.