Lagun Onak vs Beasain: prediction and stats
Friendlies ClubsClub FriendliesKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Garmendipe, Azpeitia
The Footlab model makes Beasain the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Lagun Onak. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lagun Onak vs Beasain?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Lagun Onak (1,785) and Beasain (1,879).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lagun Onak have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Beasain have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Derio(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 17, 2026 | Derio(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Eibar III(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Añorga(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Touring(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Náxara(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ebro(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lagun Onak win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Beasain win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2025 | Beasain 1-0 Lagun Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Lagun Onak 1-1 Beasain | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Beasain 2-0 Lagun Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Lagun Onak 0-1 Beasain | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Beasain 2-1 Lagun Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Lagun Onak 1-1 Beasain | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lagun Onak score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Beasain score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lagun Onak | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Beasain | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lagun Onak vs Beasain?
- The Footlab model makes Beasain the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Lagun Onak.
- Where and when is Lagun Onak vs Beasain played?
- Lagun Onak vs Beasain is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Garmendipe, in the Friendlies Clubs.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.