Playas Sotavento vs San Bartolomé: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Playas Sotavento. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Bartolomé wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,462 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Playas Sotavento vs San Bartolomé?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Playas Sotavento (1,706) and San Bartolomé (1,726).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Playas Sotavento vs San Bartolomé
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Playas Sotavento
Not enough data to predict the Playas Sotavento lineup.
San Bartolomé
Not enough data to predict the San Bartolomé lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 01:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Playas Sotavento have 0 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; San Bartolomé have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Marino(away) | 1-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Anaza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Playas Sotavento wins, 1 draw, 0 San Bartolomé wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | San Bartolomé 1-1 Playas Sotavento | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: San Bartolomé vs Playas Sotavento on Oct 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Playas Sotavento score 0.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 9; San Bartolomé score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Playas Sotavento | 0.8 | 2.4 | 0 | 6/9 | 4/9 |
| San Bartolomé | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Playas Sotavento sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (4 points from 8 matches) and San Bartolomé sit 10th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | San Bartolomé | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 16 | Playas Sotavento | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 4 |
A question about Playas Sotavento vs San Bartolomé?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Playas Sotavento vs San Bartolomé?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Playas Sotavento.
- Where and when is Playas Sotavento vs San Bartolomé played?
- Playas Sotavento vs San Bartolomé is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 17, 2027MensajerovsPanadería Pulido
- Jan 17, 2027LanzarotevsAnaza
- Jan 17, 2027MarinovsLos Llanos
- Jan 17, 2027Villa Santa BrígidavsTenerife C
- Jan 17, 2027Unión Sur YaizavsVillaverde Norte
- Jan 17, 2027EstrellavsSan Miguel
- Jan 17, 2027Real Unión de TenerifevsSan Fernando CD
- Jan 17, 2027Laguna de DuerovsLas Palmas III