Lamia vs Asteras Stavros: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5Group 5 - 18Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Athlitiko Kentro Lamias, Lamia
The Footlab model makes Lamia the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Asteras Stavros. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lamia vs Asteras Stavros?
Lamia starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,611 vs 1,507).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lamia have 4 wins, 9 draws and 2 defeats; Asteras Stavros have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Trikala(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Elassona(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Tilikratis(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Asteras Stavros(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Aris Filiates(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Elassona(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Tilikratis(home) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Aris Filiates(away) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Lamia(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Trikala(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Lamia win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Asteras Stavros win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Asteras Stavros 0-0 Lamia | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Lamia 1-1 Asteras Stavros | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Asteras Stavros 0-2 Lamia | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Asteras Stavros vs Lamia on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lamia score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Asteras Stavros score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamia | 1.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Asteras Stavros | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lamia vs Asteras Stavros?
- The Footlab model makes Lamia the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Asteras Stavros.
- Where and when is Lamia vs Asteras Stavros played?
- Lamia vs Asteras Stavros is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Athlitiko Kentro Lamias, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.