Langreo vs Lealtad: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Ganzábal, La Felguera, Langreo
The Footlab AI model makes Lealtad the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Langreo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lealtad wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Langreo vs Lealtad?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Langreo (1,804) and Lealtad (1,717).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Langreo vs Lealtad
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Langreo
4-3-3- 9Miguel Guerrero
- 11Omar
- 4L. Lopez
- 14A. R. Reyes
- 6L. Suarez
- 22Pablo Pérez
- 8Sergio Orviz
- 5D. Amez
- 2G. Zapico
- 15D. Ojeda
- 1A. Torre
Lealtad
4-3-3- AAdrián Rueda Colunga
- MM. Ouroui
- JJaime Alvarez
- 6Marcos Blanco
- YYerpes
- BBabafemo Fofana
- RRiki Menéndez
- OOmar Hernández
- AA. Mendy
- RRicardo Pesquera
- JJuan Junquera
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 07:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Langreo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lealtad have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Praviano(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | L'Entregu(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Llanes(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Praviano(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | L'Entregu(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Langreo wins, 4 draws, 0 Lealtad wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Lealtad 1-1 Langreo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Langreo 4-0 Lealtad | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Langreo 1-1 Lealtad | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Langreo 1-1 Lealtad | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Lealtad 0-1 Langreo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 10, 2021 | Langreo 0-0 Lealtad | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Langreo score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lealtad score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langreo | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Lealtad | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Langreo sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (8 points from 5 matches) and Lealtad sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Langreo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 10 | Lealtad | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
A question about Langreo vs Lealtad?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Langreo vs Lealtad?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lealtad the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Langreo.
- Where and when is Langreo vs Lealtad played?
- Langreo vs Lealtad is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Ganzábal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.