Siero vs L'Entregu: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Bayu, Pola de Siero
The Footlab model makes L'Entregu the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Siero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siero vs L'Entregu?
L'Entregu starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,752 vs 1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siero have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; L'Entregu have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Ceares(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tuilla(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Navarro(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Praviano(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lenense(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | San Martín(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Siero win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 L'Entregu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | L'Entregu 1-1 Siero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Siero 2-3 L'Entregu | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2021 | L'Entregu 7-0 Siero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 10, 2021 | Siero 1-2 L'Entregu | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 17, 2019 | L'Entregu 3-1 Siero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Siero score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; L'Entregu score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siero | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| L'Entregu | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siero sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (42 points from 34 matches) and L'Entregu sit 7th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | L'Entregu | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41 | 42 | 49 |
| 10 | Siero | 34 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siero vs L'Entregu?
- The Footlab model makes L'Entregu the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Siero.
- Where and when is Siero vs L'Entregu played?
- Siero vs L'Entregu is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Bayu, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.