Villaverde Norte vs Marino: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Villaverde Norte. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marino wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villaverde Norte vs Marino?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Villaverde Norte (1,668) and Marino (1,731).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villaverde Norte vs Marino
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villaverde Norte
Not enough data to predict the Villaverde Norte lineup.
Marino
Not enough data to predict the Marino lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 05:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Villaverde Norte have 0 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Marino have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Anaza(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tenerife C(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Villaverde Norte score 0.6 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 9; Marino score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villaverde Norte | 0.6 | 2.7 | 0 | 5/9 | 5/9 |
| Marino | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villaverde Norte sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (2 points from 9 matches) and Marino sit 7th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Marino | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 14 |
| 18 | Villaverde Norte | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 2 |
A question about Villaverde Norte vs Marino?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villaverde Norte vs Marino?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Villaverde Norte.
- Where and when is Villaverde Norte vs Marino played?
- Villaverde Norte vs Marino is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026MensajerovsUnión Sur Yaiza
- Dec 6, 2026LanzarotevsPanadería Pulido
- Dec 6, 2026Las Palmas IIIvsSan Fernando CD
- Dec 6, 2026Villa Santa BrígidavsEstrella
- Dec 6, 2026San BartolomévsLos Llanos
- Dec 6, 2026Tenerife CvsPlayas Sotavento
- Dec 6, 2026San MiguelvsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Dec 6, 2026AnazavsLaguna de Duero