Lanzarote vs Panadería Pulido: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, Tías
The Footlab AI model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Panadería Pulido. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lanzarote wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,937 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lanzarote vs Panadería Pulido?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Lanzarote (1,752) and Panadería Pulido (1,820).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lanzarote vs Panadería Pulido
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lanzarote
Not enough data to predict the Lanzarote lineup.
Panadería Pulido
Not enough data to predict the Panadería Pulido lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lanzarote have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Panadería Pulido have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Anaza(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Las Palmas III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Bartolomé(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Mensajero(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(away) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Anaza(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lanzarote win, 3 draws, 2 Panadería Pulido wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Panadería Pulido 1-1 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Lanzarote 2-1 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Panadería Pulido 3-1 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Lanzarote 1-1 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 26, 2024 | Lanzarote 0-1 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 18, 2024 | Panadería Pulido 1-1 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
Last archived meeting: Panadería Pulido vs Lanzarote on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lanzarote score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Panadería Pulido score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanzarote | 0.9 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 3/15 |
| Panadería Pulido | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lanzarote sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (6 points from 6 matches) and Panadería Pulido sit 2nd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Panadería Pulido | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Lanzarote | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
A question about Lanzarote vs Panadería Pulido?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lanzarote vs Panadería Pulido?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Panadería Pulido.
- Where and when is Lanzarote vs Panadería Pulido played?
- Lanzarote vs Panadería Pulido is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026MensajerovsUnión Sur Yaiza
- Dec 6, 2026Las Palmas IIIvsSan Fernando CD
- Dec 6, 2026Villa Santa BrígidavsEstrella
- Dec 6, 2026San BartolomévsLos Llanos
- Dec 6, 2026Tenerife CvsPlayas Sotavento
- Dec 6, 2026San MiguelvsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Dec 6, 2026AnazavsLaguna de Duero
- Dec 6, 2026Villaverde NortevsMarino