Match

Larisa vs OFI: prediction and stats

CupGreek Cup - 4Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)AEL Arena, Larissa

LarisaOFI

The Footlab AI model makes Larisa the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for OFI. The most likely score is 1-1. If Larisa wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 3,345 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Larisa vs OFI?

On Elo ratings, Larisa has 1,865 points and OFI 1,996.

40%27%33%
Larisa winDrawOFI win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Larisa vs OFI

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Larisa

4-4-1-1
  1. 14C. Albanis
  1. 57L. Andrada
  2. 19C.Lelekas
  3. 6Damian Silva
  4. 37A. Tsingaras
  5. 8K. Papageorgiou
  1. 5Timotheos Tselepidis
  2. 3K. Grozos
  3. 28A. Parras
  4. 2G. Agapakis
  1. 1N. Melissas

OFI

3-4-3
  1. 19K. Kodro
  2. 18T. Nuss
  3. 10Aitor Cantalapiedra
  1. 3N. Athanasiou
  2. 41A. Bouchalakis
  3. 24L. Dickmann
  4. 14T. Androutsos
  1. 2K. Krizmanić
  2. 5K. Kostoulas
  3. 15A. Poungouras
  1. 31N. Christogeorgos

Computed on October 24, 2026 at 11:48 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Larisa have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; OFI have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Larisa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Kallithea(away)1-1Super League 2
Oct 18, 2026Panserraikos(home)0-0Super League 2
Oct 11, 2026Marko(away)0-1Super League 2
Oct 3, 2026Niki Volos(away)2-2Super League 2
Sep 27, 2026PAOK II(home)1-0Super League 2
OFI
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 22, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)0-2UEFA Europa League
Oct 18, 2026Kalamata(away)3-4Super League 1
Oct 15, 2026Rennes(away)1-2UEFA Europa League
Oct 10, 2026AEK Athens FC(away)0-3Super League 1
Sep 20, 2026Asteras Tripolis(home)2-2Super League 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Larisa win, 1 draw, 4 OFI wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026OFI 3-0 LarisaSuper League 1
Nov 24, 2025Larisa 1-2 OFISuper League 1
Apr 24, 2021Larisa 0-1 OFISuper League 1
Mar 6, 2021OFI 2-3 LarisaSuper League 1
Dec 12, 2020Larisa 0-1 OFISuper League 1
Feb 1, 2020OFI 0-0 LarisaSuper League 1

Last archived meeting: OFI vs Larisa on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Larisa score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; OFI score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Larisa1.51.158/157/15
OFI1.61.185/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Larisa vs OFI?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Larisa vs OFI?
The Footlab AI model makes Larisa the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for OFI.
Where and when is Larisa vs OFI played?
Larisa vs OFI is played on October 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at AEL Arena, in the Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Larisa and OFI

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