Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kalamata: prediction and stats
CupGreek Cup - 4Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Chrysoupolis, Chrysoupoli
The Footlab AI model makes Kalamata the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Nestos Chrisoupolis. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,264 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kalamata?
Kalamata starts as the favourite with a 232-point Elo edge (1,993 vs 1,761).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kalamata
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nestos Chrisoupolis
4-3-3- 17D. Stoiljković
- 97S. Franco
- 9P. Giakoumakis
- 70M. Cantave
- 10A. Sapountzis
- 44D. Tutonda
- 5P. Dermitzakis
- 33E. Gionis
- 3Frederic Miyenga
- 22Savvas Topalidis
- 14L. Astras
Kalamata
4-2-3-1- 91D. Kurminowski
- 24E. Hamza
- 6D. Diarra
- 20A. Mendes Moreira
- 23G. Piñeiro
- 77K. Vargas
- 17Julio Alonso
- 97Rodrigues
- 4S. Stroungis
- 22P. Kaloutsikidis
- 40N. Vasiljević
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 09:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nestos Chrisoupolis have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kalamata have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus II(away) | 2-1 | Super League 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kallithea(home) | 0-0 | Super League 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Panserraikos(away) | 1-2 | Super League 2 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Marko(home) | 1-2 | Super League 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Niki Volos(away) | 0-2 | Super League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | OFI(home) | 4-3 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 3-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Panathinaikos(home) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Larisa(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 3-1 | Super League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nestos Chrisoupolis score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kalamata score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nestos Chrisoupolis | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Kalamata | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kalamata?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kalamata?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kalamata the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Nestos Chrisoupolis.
- Where and when is Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kalamata played?
- Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kalamata is played on October 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Chrysoupolis, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.