Match

Panadería Pulido vs Las Palmas III: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, Vega de San Mateo

Panadería PulidoLas Palmas III

The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Las Palmas III. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Panadería Pulido vs Las Palmas III?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Panadería Pulido (1,813) and Las Palmas III (1,819).

Panadería Pulido win46 %
Draw27 %
Las Palmas III win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panadería Pulido have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Las Palmas III have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Panadería Pulido
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026UD San Fernando(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 16, 2026UD San Fernando(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 10, 2026Unión Sur Yaiza(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026San Miguel(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026Atlético Paso(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas III
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026San Miguel(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026Atlético Paso(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026Tenisca(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 22, 2026Panadería Pulido(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026Real Unión de Tenerife(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Panadería Pulido win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Las Palmas III win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 22, 2026Las Palmas III 1-0 Panadería PulidoTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 8, 2025Panadería Pulido 2-3 Las Palmas IIITercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2021Panadería Pulido 1-0 Las Palmas IIITercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 28, 2020Las Palmas III 1-0 Panadería PulidoTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 2, 2019Las Palmas III 2-0 Panadería PulidoTercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Las Palmas III vs Panadería Pulido on Apr 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Panadería Pulido score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas III score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Panadería Pulido1.01.238/155/15
Las Palmas III1.31.148/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Panadería Pulido sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (55 points from 34 matches) and Las Palmas III sit 6th (54 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Panadería Pulido3415109473355
6Las Palmas III3415910584254

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Panadería Pulido vs Las Palmas III?
The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Las Palmas III.
Where and when is Panadería Pulido vs Las Palmas III played?
Panadería Pulido vs Las Palmas III is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Panadería Pulido and Las Palmas III

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