Las Palmas vs Celta de Vigo II: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Celta de Vigo II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Las Palmas wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,250 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Celta de Vigo II?
On Elo ratings, Las Palmas has 1,976 points and Celta de Vigo II 1,938.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Las Palmas vs Celta de Vigo II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Las Palmas
4-4-2- 10Jesé
- 14Manu Fuster
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 24Iván Jaime
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 12E. Loiodice
- 4Álex Suárez
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 15Juan Herzog
- 23A. Rodriguez
- 13José Caro
Celta de Vigo II
3-4-2-1- 9A. Marin
- 16Adrià Capdevila
- 11Ángel Arcos
- 15A. Kibet
- 29M. Sobral
- 10O. Marcos
- 23G. Miller
- 3K. Ribes
- 18Joel López
- 4S. M. Ndiaye
- 1Coke Carrillo
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 06:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Celta de Vigo II have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 27, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 3-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Girona(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Celta de Vigo II score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Celta de Vigo II | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Palmas sit 10th in Segunda División (20 points from 13 matches) and Celta de Vigo II sit 16th (13 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Las Palmas | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 20 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 13 |
A question about Las Palmas vs Celta de Vigo II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Celta de Vigo II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Celta de Vigo II.
- Where and when is Las Palmas vs Celta de Vigo II played?
- Las Palmas vs Celta de Vigo II is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.