Cordoba vs Castellón: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Arcángel, Córdoba
The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Cordoba. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellón wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,539 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cordoba vs Castellón?
Castellón starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (2,105 vs 1,926).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cordoba vs Castellón
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cordoba
4-3-3- 23Cristian Carracedo
- 9Percan
- 11Diego Bri
- 8Isma Ruiz
- 28Eder García
- 14Adnane Ghailan
- 3Dani Tasende
- 30Daniel Budesca
- 4Álex Martín
- 5Juan Gutiérrez
- 1Iker Álvarez
Castellón
4-4-2- 10Israel Suero
- 16A. Jakobsen
- 8Barri
- 14Iñigo Córdoba
- 6M. Orozco
- 25J. Vlak
- 5Alberto Jiménez
- 4A. Sienra
- 22J. Mellot
- 18Pablo Santiago
- 13R. Matthys
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cordoba have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Castellón have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Atlético Paso(away) | 1-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 3-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Cordoba wins, 1 draw, 0 Castellón wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Castellón 1-2 Cordoba | Segunda División |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Cordoba 2-1 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Castellón 1-2 Cordoba | Segunda División |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Cordoba 2-2 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Castellón 2-3 Cordoba | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Cordoba 2-0 Castellón | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cordoba score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Castellón score 1.8 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordoba | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Castellón | 1.8 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cordoba sit 12th in Segunda División (16 points from 12 matches) and Castellón sit 1st (27 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 16 |
A question about Cordoba vs Castellón?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cordoba vs Castellón?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Cordoba.
- Where and when is Cordoba vs Castellón played?
- Cordoba vs Castellón is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Arcángel, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.