Cordoba vs Castellón: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Arcángel, Córdoba
The Footlab model makes Cordoba the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Castellón. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cordoba vs Castellón?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Cordoba (1,935) and Castellón (2,016).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cordoba have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Castellón have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Girona(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Elche(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Levante(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Cordoba win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Castellón win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Castellón 1-2 Cordoba | Segunda División |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Cordoba 2-1 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Castellón 1-2 Cordoba | Segunda División |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Cordoba 2-2 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Castellón 2-3 Cordoba | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Cordoba 2-0 Castellón | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cordoba score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Castellón score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordoba | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Castellón | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cordoba sit 10th in Segunda División (3 points from 2 matches) and Castellón sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Castellón | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cordoba vs Castellón?
- The Footlab model makes Cordoba the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Castellón.
- Where and when is Cordoba vs Castellón played?
- Cordoba vs Castellón is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Arcángel, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.