Almeria vs Albacete: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, Almería
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Albacete. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,627 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almeria vs Albacete?
Almeria starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (2,100 vs 1,918).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Almeria vs Albacete
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 24Miguel de la Fuente
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 17B. Cipenga
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 29S. Džodić
- 33Quim Junyent
- 18F. Bonini
- 2Marcos Luna
- 3Álex Muñoz
- 5Jorge Pulido
- 1Andrés Fernández
Albacete
4-1-4-1- 9Mario Soberón
- 17José Corpas
- 6Antonio Pacheco
- 11Víctor Valverde
- 14San Bartolomé
- 18Sergio Ortu
- 21Carlos Neva
- 22Lluís López
- 24Vallejo
- 2Lorenzo Aguado
- 13Diego Mariño
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 08:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almeria have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Albacete have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Valladolid(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Girona(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Almeria wins, 3 draws, 1 Albacete win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Albacete 1-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Almeria 4-4 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Albacete 2-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Almeria 3-1 Albacete | Segunda División |
| May 15, 2021 | Almeria 1-1 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Nov 23, 2020 | Albacete 1-2 Almeria | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Almeria score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Albacete score 0.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almeria | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Albacete | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almeria sit 2nd in Segunda División (25 points from 11 matches) and Albacete sit 22nd (4 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Almeria | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 25 |
| 22 | Albacete | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 4 |
A question about Almeria vs Albacete?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almeria vs Albacete?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Albacete.
- Where and when is Almeria vs Albacete played?
- Almeria vs Albacete is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.