Las Palmas vs Granada CF: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Granada CF. The most likely score is 1-1. If Las Palmas wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Granada CF?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Las Palmas (1,977) and Granada CF (1,946).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Las Palmas vs Granada CF
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Las Palmas
4-4-2- 10Jesé
- 14Manu Fuster
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 12E. Loiodice
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 24Iván Jaime
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 4Álex Suárez
- 15Juan Herzog
- 21G. Bonfanti
- 13José Caro
Granada CF
4-3-3- 11José Arnáiz
- 7Sergio Rodelas
- 27M. Gambin
- 6Gumbau
- 4Rubén Alcaraz
- 8Pedro Alemañ
- 5Manu Lama
- 18Sergio López
- 16Diego Pampín
- 30Juan José Flores Castro
- 1Alberto Flores
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Granada CF have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Las Palmas wins, 3 draws, 1 Granada CF win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Las Palmas 2-0 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Granada CF 0-0 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Jul 25, 2024 | Las Palmas 1-1 Granada CF | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Granada CF 1-1 Las Palmas | La Liga |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Las Palmas 1-0 Granada CF | La Liga |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Granada CF 2-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Las Palmas vs Granada CF on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Granada CF score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Granada CF | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Palmas sit 15th in Segunda División (11 points from 9 matches) and Granada CF sit 10th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Granada CF | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| 15 | Las Palmas | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 11 |
A question about Las Palmas vs Granada CF?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Granada CF?
- The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Granada CF.
- Where and when is Las Palmas vs Granada CF played?
- Las Palmas vs Granada CF is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.