Leganés II vs Fuenlabrada: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anexo Butarque, Leganés
The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Fuenlabrada. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leganés II vs Fuenlabrada?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Leganés II (1,800) and Fuenlabrada (1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganés II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Fuenlabrada have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tres Cantos(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Leganés II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Fuenlabrada win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2022 | Leganés II 0-1 Fuenlabrada | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Leganés II vs Fuenlabrada on Aug 4, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Fuenlabrada score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganés II | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Fuenlabrada | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leganés II | 34 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 63 | 33 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leganés II vs Fuenlabrada?
- The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Fuenlabrada.
- Where and when is Leganés II vs Fuenlabrada played?
- Leganés II vs Fuenlabrada is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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