Match

Unión Adarve vs Las Rozas: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, Madrid

Unión AdarveLas Rozas

The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Las Rozas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unión Adarve vs Las Rozas?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Unión Adarve (1,796) and Las Rozas (1,780).

Unión Adarve win40 %
Draw26 %
Las Rozas win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Adarve have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Las Rozas have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unión Adarve
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Racing Madrid(home)5-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Las Rozas(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Galapagar(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Villaverde-Boetticher(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026A Madrid III(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Las Rozas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Trival Valderas(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026Torrejón(away)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Torrejón(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026Galapagar(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Unión Adarve win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Las Rozas win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Las Rozas 0-2 Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 4, 2026Unión Adarve 1-0 Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Aug 20, 2022Unión Adarve 3-3 Las RozasFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Las Rozas vs Unión Adarve on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Unión Adarve1.81.166/159/15
Las Rozas1.71.558/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unión Adarve sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (53 points from 34 matches) and Las Rozas sit 4th (56 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Las Rozas3416810584256
6Unión Adarve3415811484253

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unión Adarve vs Las Rozas?
The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Las Rozas.
Where and when is Unión Adarve vs Las Rozas played?
Unión Adarve vs Las Rozas is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Unión Adarve and Las Rozas

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