Match

Las Rozas vs Trival Valderas: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, Las Rozas de Madrid

Las RozasTrival Valderas

The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Las Rozas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Las Rozas vs Trival Valderas?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Las Rozas (1,780) and Trival Valderas (1,829).

Las Rozas win34 %
Draw28 %
Trival Valderas win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Rozas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Trival Valderas have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Las Rozas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Trival Valderas(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026Torrejón(away)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Torrejón(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026Galapagar(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026La Nucía(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026La Nucía(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026Las Rozas(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026Las Rozas(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026Leganés II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Las Rozas win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Trival Valderas win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Trival Valderas 3-1 Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026Las Rozas 1-1 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 22, 2026Las Rozas 2-3 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 9, 2025Trival Valderas 1-2 Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 16, 2025Trival Valderas 1-1 Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 3, 2024Las Rozas 2-3 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Trival Valderas vs Las Rozas on Jun 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Trival Valderas score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Las Rozas1.71.558/159/15
Trival Valderas1.50.777/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Las Rozas sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (56 points from 34 matches) and Trival Valderas sit 2nd (60 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Trival Valderas3418610503660
4Las Rozas3416810584256

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Las Rozas vs Trival Valderas?
The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Las Rozas.
Where and when is Las Rozas vs Trival Valderas played?
Las Rozas vs Trival Valderas is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Las Rozas and Trival Valderas

Ready to know everything about football?