Match

Trival Valderas vs Rayo Vallecano II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Canaleja, Alcorcón

Trival ValderasRayo Vallecano II

The Footlab AI model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Trival Valderas wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,713 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trival Valderas vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Trival Valderas starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,701).

54%25%21%
Trival Valderas winDrawRayo Vallecano II win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Trival Valderas vs Rayo Vallecano II

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Trival Valderas

Not enough data to predict the Trival Valderas lineup.

Rayo Vallecano II

4-3-3
  1. EE. Eto'o Pineda
  2. SSergio Alonso
  3. PPablo Prieto
  1. 19Aitor González
  2. JJuanchi
  3. JJuan Ybarra
  1. DDiego Robles
  2. ÁÁlvaro Baladía
  3. VVíctor Revuelto
  4. 26Marco de las Sías
  1. 30Juanpe

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:47 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trival Valderas have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Rayo Vallecano II have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trival Valderas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Rayo Vallecano II(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Las Rozas(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 26, 2026Real Aranjuez(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 20, 2026Pozuelo Alarcón(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 13, 2026Parla Escuela(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026RC Alcobendas(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Galapagar(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 19, 2026Leganés II(away)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 13, 2026Cala Pozuelo(home)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Trival Valderas wins, 0 draws, 3 Rayo Vallecano II wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Rayo Vallecano II 1-0 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 8, 2025Rayo Vallecano II 3-2 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 29, 2024Trival Valderas 5-1 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 7, 2024Trival Valderas 3-0 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 19, 2023Rayo Vallecano II 3-1 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 26, 2023Trival Valderas 4-0 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano II vs Trival Valderas on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Trival Valderas score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano II score 0.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Trival Valderas1.40.849/156/15
Rayo Vallecano II0.72.236/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Trival Valderas sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (11 points from 6 matches) and Rayo Vallecano II sit 16th (4 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Trival Valderas63218511
16Rayo Vallecano II61147134

A question about Trival Valderas vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trival Valderas vs Rayo Vallecano II?
The Footlab AI model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Rayo Vallecano II.
Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Rayo Vallecano II played?
Trival Valderas vs Rayo Vallecano II is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Trival Valderas and Rayo Vallecano II

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