Match

Pozuelo Alarcón vs Colonia Moscardó: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Valle de las Cañas, Pozuelo de Alarcón

Pozuelo AlarcónColonia Moscardó

The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Pozuelo Alarcón. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pozuelo Alarcón vs Colonia Moscardó?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Pozuelo Alarcón (1,721) and Colonia Moscardó (1,768).

Pozuelo Alarcón win36 %
Draw27 %
Colonia Moscardó win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pozuelo Alarcón have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Colonia Moscardó have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pozuelo Alarcón
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Marchamalo(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Tres Cantos(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Carabanchel(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026Móstoles(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026SS Reyes II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardó
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Intercity(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Navalcarnero(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 14, 2026Real Madrid III(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026Orihuela(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Getafe II(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Colonia Moscardó win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 28, 2024Pozuelo Alarcón 1-2 Colonia MoscardóTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 9, 2023Colonia Moscardó 1-1 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 20, 2022Pozuelo Alarcón 3-0 Colonia MoscardóTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 24, 2021Colonia Moscardó 0-2 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Pozuelo Alarcón vs Colonia Moscardó on Jan 28, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pozuelo Alarcón1.11.227/156/15
Colonia Moscardó1.11.355/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Pozuelo Alarcón34121210403348

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pozuelo Alarcón vs Colonia Moscardó?
The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Pozuelo Alarcón.
Where and when is Pozuelo Alarcón vs Colonia Moscardó played?
Pozuelo Alarcón vs Colonia Moscardó is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valle de las Cañas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pozuelo Alarcón and Colonia Moscardó

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