Leganés II vs Móstoles: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anexo Butarque, Leganés
The Footlab AI model makes Leganés II the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Móstoles. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leganés II wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,247 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leganés II vs Móstoles?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Leganés II (1,812) and Móstoles (1,813).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leganés II vs Móstoles
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leganés II
Not enough data to predict the Leganés II lineup.
Móstoles
Not enough data to predict the Móstoles lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 08:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganés II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Móstoles have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | RC Alcobendas(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Móstoles(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Unión Adarve(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Leganés II wins, 3 draws, 1 Móstoles win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Móstoles 1-1 Leganés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Móstoles 1-1 Leganés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Leganés II 2-0 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Móstoles 0-3 Leganés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Leganés II 0-1 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Leganés II 0-0 Móstoles | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Móstoles vs Leganés II on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leganés II score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Móstoles score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganés II | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Móstoles | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leganés II sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (10 points from 7 matches) and Móstoles sit 2nd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Móstoles | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Leganés II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
A question about Leganés II vs Móstoles?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leganés II vs Móstoles?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leganés II the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Móstoles.
- Where and when is Leganés II vs Móstoles played?
- Leganés II vs Móstoles is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 14, 2027Las RozasvsTrival Valderas
- Feb 14, 2027Pozuelo AlarcónvsColonia Moscardó
- Feb 14, 2027Rayo Vallecano IIvsRC Alcobendas
- Feb 14, 2027Unión AdarvevsTorrejón
- Feb 14, 2027Real AranjuezvsSS Reyes II
- Feb 14, 2027Villanueva PardillovsFuenlabrada
- Feb 14, 2027Cala PozuelovsGalapagar
- Feb 14, 2027Parla EscuelavsAlcobendas Sport