Match

Las Vegas Lights vs Charleston Battery: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Cashman Field, Las Vegas, Nevada

Las Vegas LightsCharleston Battery

The Footlab model makes Charleston Battery the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Las Vegas Lights. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Las Vegas Lights vs Charleston Battery?

Charleston Battery starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,668).

Las Vegas Lights win30 %
Draw27 %
Charleston Battery win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Vegas Lights have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Charleston Battery have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Las Vegas Lights
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Lexington(away)0-2USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026Brooklyn(home)2-1USL Championship
Aug 8, 2026Miami FC(away)1-0USL Championship
Aug 6, 2026Oakland Roots(home)0-0USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026Phoenix Rising(home)1-1USL Championship
Charleston Battery
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Pittsburgh Riverhounds(away)1-3USL Championship
Aug 8, 2026Loudoun United(away)1-0USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026Brooklyn(home)5-0USL Championship
Jul 26, 2026Colorado Springs(away)1-2USL Championship
Jul 18, 2026Sacramento Republic(home)1-1USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Las Vegas Lights win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Charleston Battery win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2024Charleston Battery 6-0 Las Vegas LightsUSL Championship
May 6, 2023Las Vegas Lights 0-1 Charleston BatteryUSL Championship
Apr 1, 2022Charleston Battery 1-2 Las Vegas LightsUSL Championship

Last archived meeting: Charleston Battery vs Las Vegas Lights on Apr 27, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Las Vegas Lights score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Charleston Battery score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Las Vegas Lights1.11.157/156/15
Charleston Battery2.21.158/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Las Vegas Lights sit 10th in USL Championship (15 points from 12 matches) and Charleston Battery sit 4th (20 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Charleston Battery12624211620
4Charleston Battery201037392733
8Las Vegas Lights21858283029
10Las Vegas Lights12435182015

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Las Vegas Lights vs Charleston Battery?
The Footlab model makes Charleston Battery the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Las Vegas Lights.
Where and when is Las Vegas Lights vs Charleston Battery played?
Las Vegas Lights vs Charleston Battery is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Cashman Field, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Las Vegas Lights and Charleston Battery

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