Match

LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua: prediction and stats

CONCACAF Central American CupSemi-finalsKick-off on October 30, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela

LD AlajuelenseCD Motagua

The Footlab AI model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for CD Motagua. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,135 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua?

On Elo ratings, LD Alajuelense has 1,888 points and CD Motagua 1,803.

66%21%13%
LD Alajuelense winDrawCD Motagua win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

LD Alajuelense

4-5-1
  1. 18R. Cisneros
  1. 5C. Borges
  2. 99K. Michel
  3. 10J. Añor
  4. 14R. Wilson
  5. 13A. Gamboa
  1. 28Yerlan Sosa
  2. 3G. González
  3. 42John Paul Ruíz
  4. 21Y. Molina
  1. 23W. Ortega

CD Motagua

4-3-3
  1. 19Rodrigo De Olivera Donado
  2. 21J. Bernardez
  3. 33E. Izaguirre
  1. 8D. Meléndez
  2. 23A. Reyes
  3. 27J. Macías
  1. 34G. Sacaza
  2. 17J. Portillo
  3. 4L. Vega
  4. 26Luis Santamaría Crisanto Peña
  1. 22L. Ortiz

Computed on October 24, 2026 at 04:14 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, LD Alajuelense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; CD Motagua have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

LD Alajuelense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 23, 2026CD Motagua(away)0-0CONCACAF Central American Cup
Oct 18, 2026Inter San Carlos(away)3-2Primera División
Oct 15, 2026CS Herediano(home)1-1Primera División
Oct 10, 2026Puntarenas FC(away)1-1Primera División
Sep 20, 2026Inter San Carlos(home)5-0Primera División
CD Motagua
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 23, 2026LD Alajuelense(home)0-0CONCACAF Central American Cup
Oct 17, 2026Platense FC(away)2-0Liga Nacional
Oct 10, 2026Atlético Choloma(home)2-1Liga Nacional
Sep 20, 2026Real Espana(away)0-1Liga Nacional
Sep 17, 2026Alianza(away)0-0CONCACAF Central American Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 LD Alajuelense wins, 1 draw, 1 CD Motagua win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 23, 2026CD Motagua 0-0 LD AlajuelenseCONCACAF Central American Cup
Oct 1, 2025CD Motagua 1-2 LD AlajuelenseCONCACAF Central American Cup
Sep 24, 2025LD Alajuelense 0-1 CD MotaguaCONCACAF Central American Cup
Sep 1, 2023LD Alajuelense 5-1 CD MotaguaCONCACAF Central American Cup

Last archived meeting: CD Motagua vs LD Alajuelense on Oct 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

LD Alajuelense score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CD Motagua score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
LD Alajuelense1.71.139/158/15
CD Motagua1.20.776/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua?
The Footlab AI model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for CD Motagua.
Where and when is LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua played?
LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua is played on October 30, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, in the CONCACAF Central American Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: LD Alajuelense and CD Motagua

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